Another week passes, another week in profit. +13% last week means that we’ve had 4 profitable weeks out the 5 that this blog has been running, which is great news for all of us. We saw Leicester slip up in the title race with a draw at home to Norwich, and Liverpool continue their title charge with good win against Watford.
This week there are a lot of very tight games in my eyes, with the Jose show (Tottenham v Chelsea) stealing the headlines. We also have Manchester City vs Leicester which could be decisive in the title race, and down the other end we have an early six pointer as Aston Villa play Southampton, where both teams will be desperate not to lose.
I ‘d love to hear your thoughts and opinions so please feel free to comment, and as always best of luck!
Everton Vs Arsenal – Saturday 21st, 12.30pm
Everton have seen their results improve significantly since Ferguson has been in charge (albeit temporarily), beating Chelsea and then drawing to Manchester United. Arsenal on the other hand are coming into this in the worst form I think I have ever seen them, which Manchester City prolonged with their 3-0 win over the weekend. They have however just appointed their ex-captain Arteta as the new manager so there may well be some light at the end of the tunnel for Gunners fans.
Although Everton have seen their results improve, I have a feeling that Arsenal may win this one. Ferguson’s first game in charge resulted in a fantastic performance and win against a strong Chelsea side, but that new manager effect seems to be wearing off a tad. They picked up a good draw against Manchester United but I felt their performance had dipped a bit, and they then followed that up with a loss to Leicester midweek in the Carabao Cup. Arsenal on the other hand may well sneak in under the radar, and grab a much needed win with their new manager hopefully sparking a bit of confidence back into the team. Arsenal to win.
Arsenal to BEAT Everton (2.80 odds, confidence 2)
Aston Villa Vs Southampton – Saturday 21st, 3pm
Aston Villa come into this one without a win in four premier league games – a 2-0 loss to Sheffield United being their latest premier league result. Southampton have lost their last two games despite showing glimpses of an upturn in their season in the few games prior to that.
I think Aston Villa’s performance in recent games have been good enough for me to back them to beat Southampton this weekend. They’ve looked like a good team who have just been a bit unlucky. Southampton however seem to have slipped back into their lethargic style of play which has put them in the trouble they’re in, with Danny Ings being the sole reason why they’re not fighting with Norwich for bottom place in the league.
Aston Villa to BEAT Southampton (2.40 odds, confidence 2)
Bournemouth Vs Burnley – Saturday 21st, 3pm
I often describe Bournemouth as the most unpredictable team in the league, and this season has been no different. They went into last weekend in terrible form, but somehow managed to pick up a huge win against Chelsea despite their team being ravaged by injuries. Burnley are the polar opposite, grinding out wins against smaller teams but falling apart against the big boys.
Their footballing philosophies are poles apart in terms of style, but I think they’ll both be happy with a draw so that’s what I’m backing. Despite Bournemouth still struggling with injuries, I think they’ll come out and play some good football against Burnley. Burnley on the other hand are very defensive and a lot of their goals have come from set pieces this season so expect a 1-1 or 2-2.
Bournemouth to DRAW with Burnley (3.40 odds, confidence 2)
Brighton Vs Sheffield United – Saturday 21st, 3pm
Brighton have become much more of a threat in attack this season under their new manager, and come into this in decent form (two draws and a win in last three games) despite a lot of people tipping them for relegation. Sheffield United have also been proving a lot of doubters wrong this season and are currently sit very comfortably up in 7th place.
It’s proved to be extremely costly when betting against Sheffield United this season, but that’s exactly what I’m doing this week when they come up against Brighton. Brighton at home have looked a very dangerous side, and this is exactly the sort of match where I can see the concentration among the Sheffield United players slip enough and let Brighton control this one.
Brighton to BEAT Sheffield United (2.15 odds, confidence 2)
Newcastle Vs Crystal Palace – Saturday 21st, 3pm
Sitting at 11th place in the league, Newcastle fans will be delighted with how their season is going considering most people had them down as relegation favorites before the season kicked off. Crystal Palace have seen results improve drastically after their run of fixtures facing all of the best teams in the division back to back.
I think Crystal Palace are the better side, but Newcastle at home are a very tricky proposition so this one is a draw in my eyes. Even though I think Newcastle have been lucky in a lot of their games this season, and that the quality of Zaha and Ayew is better than quality that Newcastle have in their team; St James’ Park is just such a tough place to come too, so so I cant look pasts a draw.
Newcastle to DRAW with Crystal Palace (3.00 odds, confidence 3)
Norwich Vs Wolves – Saturday 21st, 3pm
Norwich look to be in a real relegation battle this season and are currently sitting in 19th position – 3 points off of bottom place. Their form has picked up a bit however, with their most recent result an impressive 1-1 draw away to Leicester. Wolves on the other hand are flying and will be hoping to qualify for European football for their second successive season.
With Wolves playing the way the way that they’re playing at the moment, I have to go for a Wolves win here. To say they were robbed when they lost to Tottenham last weekend would be an understatement, and a similar performance this week would surely see them win. Norwich have been playing better recently, but they let teams dominate matches far too often so I don’t think they’ll be able to cope with Wolves’ attacking prowess.
Wolves to BEAT Norwich (1.91 odds, confidence 3)
Manchester City Vs Leicester – Saturday 21st, 5.30pm
Manchester City’s last match match saw them dismantle a very poor Arsenal side which lifted the club a bit after a poor couple of matches. Leicester on the other hand slipped up to Norwich which has probably given them too much to do to catch Liverpool in the title race, who are now 10 points clear.
Manchester City have been impressive in large parts this season, but they have struggled to break down teams on a number of occasions which has led to them dropping far too many points. I think this may favour Leicester, who have the best defensive record int he league having only conceded 11 goals. Not to mention the fact that they are a team who thrive on the counter attack, especially with someone like Vardy in the team who was built to catch teams on the break. Lets not forget they won the league with this tactic a few years back, so I’m backing Leicester to cause an upset and beat City.
Leicester to BEAT Manchester City (7.00 odds, confidence 1)
Watford Vs Manchester United – Sunday 22nd, 2pm
Watford were unlucky to lose to Liverpool last weekend, having been on top for most of the game before Liverpool took the lead. On another day they could/should have put several goals past Alisson. Manchester United somewhat slipped back into their uninspiring selves last weekend with a 1-1 draw against Everton, after lots of ‘we’re back’ noise following a couple of good wins against Manchester City and Tottenham.
I think the appointment of Nigel Pearson has brought back some much needed structure to this Watford team, who have more than enough quality to stay up this season. I also think there are some quite deep rooted issues at Manchester United, and a couple of good wins papered over the cracks a bit and the supporters perhaps got too carried away. I think Watford will win this one despite them coming in as big underdogs – but I don’t think they’d have it any other way.
Watford to BEAT Manchester United (4.33 odds, confidence 2)
Tottenham Vs Chelsea – Sunday 22nd, 4.30pm
Tottenham were very very very lucky to get all three points against Wolves last weekend, however despite some below par displays, the results seem to keep on coming for Jose’s Spurs. Chelsea come into this in bad form and with a recent loss to Bournemouth, which was one of the upsets of last weekend – especially seeing as Bournemouth are stricken with injuries at the moment.
Tottenham have been hit and miss this season under Jose despite getting some good results, and their defensive frailties have been clear for all to see. Having said that, Chelsea seem to have hit a bit of a slump, which I suppose was to be expected at some point when you have an extremely young side mixed in with a fairly inexperienced manager. I think Jose will get his players pumped to face his old side, and unfortunately I think fatigue (mental and physical) might just be getting the better of Chelsea at the moment, so Tottenham to win.
Tottenham to BEAT Chelsea (2.38 odds, confidence 2)
Good luck All!